oh yeah, I was commenting on that particular statement made in the old forum you linked, and edited too.
And the logic about War On Terror goes like this: If Soviet Union didn’t attack Afghanistan, there won’t be any need to fund ISI to train Mujahedeen, and there would be no extremist ideology to spread in the first place as ISI has nobody to train nor have any sufficient cause like the Mujaheeden after their fight against Soviet Union, arguably a “Colonializing Western Force” to speak about. US Military Industrial Complex, at the end of the day is just profiting off something that already exist, and US Sphere of Influence is practically nada between Korean and Arabian peninsula, Russian gives them exactly a reason to impose their influence there by attacking Afghanistan in the 80s.
Black Sea event, even when we says 2 decade ago, is ultimately Russian by nature, misinformation and propaganda goes hand-in-hand, and they displayed a perfect mastery on that matter through troll farm and cope bot.
And while WW1 might be inevitable, it doesn’t have to ruin 4 or so empire while also economically destroying what can be perceived as the whole of western civilization in a single fell swoop, it really become an empirical scale slugfest that kills everything inside of it precisely because of it’s nature as a war that drag alliances left and right, if the matter were left unto Austria and Serbia to deal with among them instead of having an inept emperor that let a literal unshowered priest controlling himself and his wife acting like they’re some holy guardian of a certain people (Which has done wrong mind you, it’s a regicide, and they killed the specific royalty that sided with them), then so be it, the war might come in the 20s, but it won’t spills out to Ottoman, Middle East, or anywhere outside Europe Proper, it’s going to be another localised conflict that, while may drain european resource dry, start a whole new WW2 with different perpetrator, and even prolonging the colonialism by about 5 - 10 years, it still be a conflict that only affect Europe in the grand scheme of things.
My point stand, Russia is exaggerating things out of proportion by threatening to attack Austria for trying to make Serbia accept an attempt of investigation of a regicide case by a known terrorist group, and even if the July ultimatum was a pretext for an attack to Serbian soil, it isn’t entirely unjustified, regicide and ultimately assassination is not something that you would stand on.
The matters is between Austria and Serbia, Russia doesn’t have to get into this, Sergey Sazanov statement of “If Austria swallow Serbia, we go to war” doesn’t help the Russian image in the grand scheme of things, in the end the Austrian just want a war, not a total annexation of Serbia, Russia blows things out of proportion by placing itself as “The protector of slavic people” and caused the death of the same slavic people by throwing them into the meat grinding trenches of WW1, all the while they commited some of the worst atrocities against slavs outside of the Nazi itself by the sheer existence of Soviet Union.
It’s Russian blowing things out of proportion, again and again and again and again and again.
And let us not forget that Soviet Union willingly walk with the Nazi to crush Poland, their hand are as bloody as the Nazi.