Well my guess for on-par would be Su-30SM maybe? But that seems kinda crazy to show up in an up date that doesn’t have a Typhoon or Rafale. Videos of it in DCS and from IRL pilot playing DCS Command T on YouTube show it being way better by far then anything we have atm. I don’t think something like it would come without counters.
Based upon last year, the counters came 1-2 updates before.
Such as the Mig-29SMT, Mig-29G and F-16C coming before Gripen and alongside F-15A and Su-27.
I can fully see Typhoon and Rafale coming after they would be appropriate to be added. But we are simply too close to them being required to dismiss their addition at this point. Italy is out of aircraft without doing wierd things like Spanish F-18s. Britain is out of aircraft without tech like mmV Brimstones or ASRAAM. And Germany only has the F-18C from the Swiss. France I have no idea what they have left, if anything
Still hoping for the 157th FS “Swamp Foxes” when we get a Block 52 F-16CJ. Equally important squadron to me and I think a good many others in all honesty.