Probabilities (realistic estimates)
High-tier vehicles: usually < 1%
Often in the range of 0.1% – 0.5%
The majority are:
Boosters
Silver Lions
Smaller rewards
In concrete terms, this means:
Even with 10 crates, you have no reliable chance of getting a vehicle—except for an empty account
Mathematically speaking:
- The expected value per crate is negative
- On average, you “lose” Lions to RNG
- Gaijin deliberately balances it this way