Community project: Calculating the Snow Globe drop chances

Oh boy, the SL gambling is back. Time to seal club with M4A3 (105) and 10 kill wagers again.

Hey y’all. We’re at almost 500 boxes submitted so thank you all for submitting so many boxes. This is way more day 1 submissions than last time.

From 1500 I got: TIS MA, Merkava Mk.2B, MiG-21PFM, SU-85A, M.B.152C1, and the Leningrad.

First of all, Jealous. Second of all, I would need all 1500 boxes and each of their drops to add them to the sheet.

1 Like

Oh you did submit a sheet of 1500. Oh god. I mean, thank you so much, but oh god.

1 Like

I know it’s all luck but I’m still sore about grinding out 15 million and still not getting a single vehicle. In any manner, I really appreciate your efforts to calculate the odds, really cool to see someone in the community do this.

1 Like

Hi. I know I’m really late with it, but I added in all of your drops from the 1500 you submitted. I was very busy, but they’re all in now. You brought the total from around 500 to about 2000. Thank you so much.

1 Like

Oh Lord, and I only have those 300 million SL which I have never been able to spend.

I really feel like Xmas is tonight.

Just got the legendary New Year aerobatic smoke that I had missed at the time, hooray!

If you want them in the sheet, please tally all of the drops. All of them. And preferably a sum of what you got for each one. I cannot put them in the sheet if I do not have every single drop.

I had a thought, would it be plausible to include YouTube CC tallies as well (with prior consent of course)? There are plenty of crate opening videos that are entirely uncut, showing the full extent of what was obtained from said crates.

Provided the creators indicate that they are okay with their hauls being included, it could be a good way to get guaranteed submissions with video evidence to support.

The last tally did include CC videos. I wanted to include them in this but I’ve been extremely short on time and so haven’t been able to tally CC videos.

1 Like

Fair enough, I’ll be tallying my own 300ish around Saturday to add to the total :)

1 Like

Thank you so much.

1 Like

Only just found this topic, damn. I will say, I’ve spent millions and millions and have received a single vehicle, the worst event vehicle of all-time: Jaguar 3.7 DD for Germany. In past events, I’ve gotten multiple vehicles worth over 50GJN, such as VFW, PV-2D and so on. Not sure if the chances are less or I’ve just had a bad batch.

Vehicle results from opening 1600 globes were pretty underwhelming for me too, just account unlocks, and nothing interesting for me.

Mirage 2000C-S4 (already had it from the event)
LVT(A)(4) (ZIS-2)
P-40C
USS Newport News
I-301

Sent the full results to @war_Tinder as usual.

Thank you very much. I will add them in.

Thank you for tallying so many of them. It’s a huge help because I have not been able to tally videos this time around due to being ungodly busy.

I have now added all your results into the sheet. You have brought the total tallied boxes from 2073 to 3673. Thank you so much!

It took a lot longer than I expected, but I finally created a submission. They are not my crates, as my footage I was relying on got corrupted during transfer from Xbox to PC, but I did tally Youtuber ThunderWar’s 1431 snow globes. I ended up with 1441 so I’m not sure if there was an error on my part or ThunderWar’s, but I hope it won’t matter too much in the grand scheme of things.

Anyhow, provided it’s still a valid submission I’m hoping this will boost the total to 5000+.

1 Like

I know I am very late on this, but I have added all of those to the Snow Globe spreadsheet and it brought it over 5,000, so thank you!

1 Like