Christmas chest question

Says guaranteed prize (pack). A youtuber won a new challenger premium on first try. People in the comments not so lucky.
What is meant hy Guaranteed prize (pack) exactly?

open the Christmas chest terms spoiler

We are talking the 999 golden eagle boxes right? Per box:

Guaranteed Prize: 1 day premium account + 120000 Silver Lions (total purchase price of 490 Golden Eagles)

Additional Guaranteed Prize:
1 day premium account - 15% chances
3 days premium account - 10% chances
7 days premium account - 5% chances
100000 SL - 16% chances
250000 SL - 8% chances
500000 SL - 4% chances
1000000 SL - 2% chances
100% booster for 3 battles - 20% chances
Universal backup β€” 5 pieces. - 20% chances

With talismans and premium vehicles :
(15% chance but at least once for every 14 chest openings)

So in other words a 15% chance to drop one, but at least one vehicle every 14 you open. Some may be lucky and get one on the first try. Others may take any number till 14.

Drop rates for vehicles are pretty much as you imagine. Lower tier has a higher chance of dropping before higher tier.

Rank I - 20%
Rank II - 20%
Rank III - 20%
Rank IV - 20%
Rank V - 10%
Rank VI - 7%
Rank VII - 3%
I think this is all there is to it? Anyone of the gurus care to add more or correct?

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Sound right!

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Perfectly normal phenomena

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Yeah man, must’ve been that 3% divided by 14…

I had some extra GE once and I got premium ship on my first try. Got me lot of SL that lady.

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