It proves the exact opposite. Look at the explanation they did. Every winrate swing correlates with a powercreep in the lineup without any statistical footprint of a large enough highly skilled player migration.
That’s the problem btw. The US having the best lineup is entirely your opinion even though the statistics absolutely don’t show that. That’s why you have to make up a different explanation to everyone else.
Do YOU want to be a millionaire? Well look no further, my friend. Your only task is to answer this singular question: “Which of the following games was with Russia?”
Can you show us that all those losses also didn’t have Russia on your team?
It doesn’t, it correlates with notoriety which causes player movement.
War Thunder has had no ground power creep since Abrams got M829A2 & Leopard 2s got DM53.
The last ground power creep for fixed air was F-15Es & Su-34, with other vehicles playing catch-up.
& the last power creep period was when 7 or 8 tech trees all got OP helicopters.
& we know for a fact USA has the best lineup, so the evidence needed is that USA has the best win rate.
Claim: “Win rate is caused by lineup power.”
Proof needed: USA having the best win rate from 2019 to present.
Anything else disproves that claim.
In-fact, if I look for Germany, USA, or Sweden in the monthly stats… I doubt I’ll see them in majority.
February 2025: France.
March: France & Japan.
April: Japan.
May: Japan.
June: Japan. [Sweden is tied with Italy for 2nd this month.]
July: Sweden.
August: Sweden.
September: Japan.
October: USSR.
November: USSR.
December: Italy.
January 2026: Italy.
February 2026: Italy.
March 2026: USSR.
April 2026: USSR.
May 2026: USSR.
Of all those months, only July & August 2025 had a top-3 lineup tech tree as the best win rate.
That is a correlation rate of less than 2% per-year for the #1 spot [yes, I am accounting for 10 tech trees].
On top of this, USSR gained win rates about the time when most of the playerbase that wanted Su-30MKM & AH-64E for Japan got them spaded, which is coincidentally about the time Japan started falling off in win rate.
Which is a slight buff to the correlation that CAS reduces win rates of those that spam it in matches.
WOW not any USA or Germany
Correct, because lineup strength doesn’t mean people will use it to full capabilities.
There’s almost no correlation between lineup strength & being the best tech tree in win rate because of the player variable.
If you put equal skilled teams in all lineups, THEN the correlation becomes stronger.
result of major nation syndrome (Germany, USA) and vehicle with an actual skill floor (USA here)
Who has already watched the latest video from TheCodMineMan’s?
Youtuber with high subscriber count said something about Russian bias so I must parrot it as I have no independent thinking ability
Even content creators linked to the partnership program are calling the bug report situation as clear bias, only bigots who pretend to be smart will deny it to not look edgy or confrontational.
Your entire argument relies on 2 highly questionable subjective assumptions:
If one of these points is not 100% true then your entire argument and everything you think you see in the stats falls apart.
Migoons explanation on the other hand doesn’t require a huge player migration and it explains cases like the russian winrate dropping past Leviathans despite them getting another Top tier Mbt.
Yes because high subscriber count = smart and always right about everything
It’s not about numbers, it’s about what they’re willing to lose (the partnership with the company) while calling out what’s obvious and what a chunk of bigots and shills around here have been denying for years.
It is well known that the partnership is an opportunity for growth within the community, but also for self-censorship.
Yeah man unfortunately those people have more in their life than just war thunder videos
@H_ngma
1- I never mentioned just MBTs.
I explicitly addressed CAS, both helicopters & aircraft.
2- This is from cross-analysis, the standard for determining vehicle capabilities relative to others.
Cross-analysis is not assuming things.
There are over 3 million active players in War Thunder.
Player migration isn’t needed period.
It could be some players taking a month+ break [which we know is common], it can be players switching game modes, etc.
Yes but incorrectly.
Completely omits SPAA.
So we just ignore all other CAS additions? Catch up is still a significant buff and stuff like the Eurocanards was more than catch up.
3 tech trees got those first and for one it was only a mod and not a completely new heli the impact of which is super evident in Migoons explanation.
Cross analysis done by you.
Thats also more or less a type of player migration and yes it is needed for your theory to make sense.
Migoons explanation is much simpler than yours and also explains properly why not all additions yield the same result.
Because SPAA is the victim.
Blaming the victim for coming to the game to take down oppressors is silly.
No CAS additions were ignored, the post literally addresses all CAS additions which you quoted.
Cross analysis standardized by military analysts before I was born & still in use today with plenty of studies documentation showing the results of said standard.
So no, not me; I might be using their standards, but I am not the guy.
But yeah, there are over 3 million active players in War Thunder doing all sorts of things.
Where am i blaming SPAA (whatever thats supposed to mean anyway)? Im saying that powercreep in SPAA has an impact on winrate, because CAS has an impact on winrate and therefore stopping CAS makes a difference.
No? You cobbled together all LDIRCM Helis into one addition when they were separate ones for which the impact is quite visible and cant be explained by your theory.
Yeah but youre still the guy doing the analysis ergo its still an assessment made by you.
Yes precisely and because theres so many players things average out over hundreds of thousands of games which is why the simplicity and little amount of elements in Migoons explanation makes so much sense. Its just one variable: How good is the addition? And with just that question you can explain the winrate swings.
