Yes please 😂 And I’m gonna get a TON more over the next month lmao.
Exactly, they’re just kinda garbage and being able to convert them and use it to buy a camo box from the warbond shop would be infinitely more useful.
Also really wish they’d remove the time limit on activating boosters, it’s the worst thing they ever implemented. Just let us use them whenever, none of this 2 days to use garbage.
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Console I can’t sell it
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Oh balls lol, can you turn it into war bonds 😱 ?
1600 warbonds which I am not doing.
Let’s go gambling!
Can we get some form of confirmation of how many snow globes you have to buy before you can guarentee a vehicle? I spent the equivilant of 50 pounds in silver lions I had saved up over a year, and did not recieve a single vehicle or decal, let alone the PBM-3 Mariner I am hoping to finally gain as it is not available on the gaijin market and I was doing exams during the time the event was on.
Is a rank 2 big pile of trash. Is a waste of SL.
From seeing 10 of these now, all with basically the same odds, I’d estimate it’s closer to .004 than .005 for a vehicle on account.
So putting it all together, you’re looking at needing about a 9 million SL starting amount for a 50% chance at one of the vehicle drops, assuming you also reinvest your SL winnings (which are about 25% of the total from those rolls) or about 11.2 million if you just look at it as all SL spent.
P=1 - (1 - 0.004)^175 = 0.504
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190th crate opened and received PBM-3 Mariner.
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It is def 0.5% (0.05 in decimal) sent you a link to another post in DM’s so you can see a guy who has been tracking drops for the last 3 crate events 🙂
That’s a data set entirely dependent on self-reporting. Basic statistics will tell you it’s likely over-reporting the positives. I’m comfortable with what I wrote.
Did you even open my message LOL? It shows just 1 user viewed still, w/e bro. Cheers.
Mr. Dunning, meet Dr. Kruger.
EDIT: your estimate of coupon vs on-account is also way off by the way. Much closer to 4:1 than 10:1.
There’s nothing helpful about being an innumerate without a modicum of self-doubt. Self-sampling of forum participants to declare their winnings is ALWAYS, always going to overstate the number of successes, given the small numbers we’re talking about, no matter how rigorous. Your P=0.005 is inevitably going to be very close to the upper bound here.
The best stats are going to be from very large data sets (N>1000) from single participants. On those data sets, the P number here has historically been very close to 0.004, with P (vehicle coupon) close to 0.001.
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…you are the one ignoring information, nice projection. Don’t worry, wont try to be helpful with you ever again. Cheers!
All I wanted was the PBM-3 Mariner. Is it too much to ask for ;-;.
i’d like more, i got 44 universal backups from snowglobes
i don’t even have 44 vehicles spaded or that i use a lot…
Yep you need to treat it as a way of getting small RP/SL boosters and backups, with getting any vehicles as a bonus - EXPECTING to get vehicles is a trap.
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From 112M sl to 700k. 2900 crates, 14 vehicles. I had 3 I was missing that’re auto activ only and got 1 of them. The last missing p63 for ussr on my acct. And made about 50 gjn from vehicle coupons too. Thabk you snail! Merry christmas. Heres hoping I get the ersatz and nc900 after using the 12 pages of boosters I have now lmfao.
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