The Horseshoe Pouch!

It’s nearly been 30m silver since I got my last vehicle I’m at 482 crates the hell is this RNG feel like gaijin have stealth changed the drop rates 😭

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ive pulled 60-80 crates since last drop

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Calling it a day for now 502 crates with no vehicle statistically going by prior silver crate drops I should of gotten 2 vehicles but not even 1

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You need 190 more and you’ll get Swordfish just like me
Also I’m not sure how much crates usually open to get at least one coupoun
I’m almost at 3000 and still no coupons

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I agree it’s frustrating, but that’s not how “lottery” statistics work lol. You do not increase your odds by playing/opening more. The odds are the same each and every time you open a crate. It is possible (though highly unlikely) to go forever without getting a vehicle.

It is not like a card game where each card drawn is eliminated from the pool, thus increasing the odds of getting one of the remaining cards. Totally different statistical problems.

The odds are somewhere between 0.5% (0.005 decimal) and 0.4% (0.004 decimal) to get a vehicle PER CRATE. Or, between 1:200 and 1:250 crates.

But like I talked about above, the odds of a vehicle appearing does not increase when you get to 200-250 crates. It is the same odds each and every time you open a crate. It is possible to go many more crates without a vehicle, and it is possible to get multiple vehicles within 200-250 crates.

My longest run without a vehicle drop was ~50m SL’s burned (~800 crates). But then later during the same event, I got 3 vehicles in only ~10m SL’s (~166 crates).

The odds only point to the “likelihood” that you MIGHT get a vehicle in 200-250 crates, not that it should or will happen. In my experience and observations, the results only “even out” at around 120m to 150m SL’s burned. The “average” number of vehicles at that point is usually around 10. Still not a guarantee though.

Coupons are very likely to be 10x less common that a vehicle dropping from a crate. So, between 0.05% (0.0005 decimal) and 0.04% (0.0004 decimal); between 1:2000 and 1:2500 crates for a coupon. The exact odds for a coupon is much harder to determine because they are so much more rare.

But they are almost certainly at LEAST 10x more rare. Each time I have burned more than 100m SL’s in one event (and received ~10 vehicles) I have only received 1 coupon. Even adding up all of the SL events that I have participated in, the coupons are always right around 1 coupon for every 10 vehicles that I have had drop from the SL crates.

10x more rare than getting any vehicle is the most widely agreed upon odds for a coupon 👇

But again! These are only the ODDS, everyone’s RESULTS will be different! 😉

Personally, I do not let myself get distracted by my current or overall results. I just keep playing matches, using my SL boosters with my premium vehicles, grind more SL’s, burn more SL’s. That is the only way to increase your CHANCES of getting a vehicle 😄

I’m going insane trying to get an actual vehicle I’d like to use from these pouches 😭 to have nearly spent 36M silver lions and not receive a vehicle is crazy

This is on top of like the other 100M I’ve already spent

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I am coping I’m on 622 crates now 😭😂

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The win i eventually get will be another duplicate to keep me gambling

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😂

It’s driving me insane I’m nearing 700 crates now

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turned this match into 20 crates still got nothing

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#6! Turan II NOT a dupe 😄 And another unobtainable Battlepass vehicle I had missed! 🥳

@RDXRooster63 How are your vehicle drops going so far 😂?

@UniqueScorpions-live @oppsijustkilledu-psn Don’t give up!

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  1. thing thats make me angry is that when we pull something we dont have it says that we have it.

    and i pulled something very rare but useless for me. But my gambling session was good, 4mil crates and i got this. Jsut wish it was the t55e1
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I always check my messages/items screen to see what actually happened, if I actually got the vehicle or got the stoobid 1m SL’s instead:

I hope you get it bro! I got it from last year’s crates, neat tonk to play. (Or wait, maybe I did get it from the Battlepass…I can’t remember now. MIGHT have been one of the random boxes with old BP vehicles from a recent Battlepass, idk lol.)

Thanks!
I dont need to check weder i have a that certain viacle or not, becouse i know i dont have it as I am playing this game for 3 years now, i never grinded events like object 272, so yeah. Anyway, im jsut gonna dispaly it and flex.

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Oh I gave up.

And nice. I already had the turan.

But yeah I hardcore grinded for a week, back to Fallout 4 and project zomboid for me.

Cuz if I break 100 mil spent without getting something I actually wanted… I’m gonna have a stroke

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I would still say it could be worth the try to burn ALL of your SL’s before the event is over 😂 I burn every single last SL I can into crates before the time runs out. Can’t win if you don’t play! 🤣