It does not tell you directly lol. You have to do a handful of math yourself. You would have had to know how many SL’s you had earned before you started opening crates. The only other “real” way is to write down/record exactly how many crates you have purchased. I have no time for that 😂 I just keep buying crates over the course of the month, use my SL boosters, make more SL’s, and pace myself to finally run out of SL’s completely on the last day of the crates. I NEVER burn all my SL’s the first day, or even the first week. Huge massive waste of SL boosters to burn 10’s of millions of SL’s the first days.
Its 1/200. Other people have done the calculations too. The chances come out to around 1/200 for vehicles/
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Heya @war_Tinder 👋😄 Oh I remember ALL of your threads! Just going to make an “easy” multiplier amount for a couple of these guys to use if they want to see their specific/current drop % results.
It’s looking like its ~24% of SL’s are “returned” per crate. So for those who do not keep track of how many crates are purchased (like me) and if ALL SL’s are burned back into crates (like I do), take the amount of SL’s gained on the player search page and multiply by 1.238441753, divide by 60,000 = Crates Opened. At least approximately.
I can show/share the maths if anyone is interested, but I reverse checked, and I’m pretty sure this is the right number to multiply by (IF someone is burning ALL of their SL’s back into crates).
Not sure how well this will show up, but here is a console view with a copy+paste of the formulas I used. OH! It DOES work copy+paste back into sheets. For anyone else, make a copy of War Tinder's spreadsheet on Google Sheets. Then, copy everything below. Finally, ONLY click/highlight cell "J5" and paste. It should work perfectly.
"x" number of SL Crates Purchased (Default 10, 600k SL's) 10
Total SL's Spent per "x" number of SL crates =M5*60000
Ave Number of SL "rewards" per "x" crates =M5*(G17/100)
Ave SL's "returned" per type, for "x" amount of crates
10k =($M$5*($G10/100))*10000
15k =($M$5*($G11/100))*15000
25k =($M$5*($G12/100))*25000
50k =($M$5*($G13/100))*50000
100k =($M$5*($G14/100))*100000
500k =($M$5*($G15/100))*500000
1m =($M$5*($G16/100))*1000000
Ave total number of SL's "returned" per "x" crates =SUM(M10:M16)
Multiplier for SL's burned into Crates =(M18/M6)+1
If anyone sees any errors I made, or has a better suggestion on how to go about this, please let me know and I will edit 👍
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Closer to 1/250, but yes. Every survey that’s been done that doesn’t have a built-in favorable reporting bias comes in around there. 1/2500 for a vehicle coupon.
I think the interesting question is, as they add new vehicles each time, does the chance of all vehicles remain the same (so 250:1, divided by number of vehicles, for a given vehicle) or does it grow a little each time (so, maybe 10000:1 for a given vehicle when there were 40, but if they add 10 vehicles over time the chances of ANY vehicle increases commensurately).
Of course if you have the vehicle on account already, you’re just getting the SL, so if they don’t keep adding vehicles the value of the whole box effort will just continue to go down.
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1/250, I was misremembering. I knew someone had done the calculations better than me but I thought you also got 1/200. Didn’t you say coupon was 1/500 though?
Anyway, I’d guess the chance of each vehicle is (1/250 - 0.001)/[number of available vehicles]. That 0.001 is because they always have 1 vehicle that is much rarer. Though they don’t seem to for the Horseshoe Pouch so for this one it’d be 1/250/[number of available vehicles]. Alternatively, it’s 1/250/[number of available vehicles] and an additional 1/1000 chance of the extra rare one.
Nah, coupon to vehicle is definitely around 1:10.
Of course that’s per box, so a set of 10 (which is what everyone always does) you have to multiply by 10.
So for a set of 10 boxes, it’s about a 25:1 of getting a vehicle on account (or SL if you have it already), or a 250:1 of getting a vehicle coupon. Roughly… no one knows exactly.
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2890 opened this time around so far. 13 vehicles so yeah its still the 200-250 avg. And ofc didnt get either auto activate im missing only 2 a26/yak3t
Last time I got a vehicle was a year and a half ago. It was Haruna. I already had it. This is over more than 500 boxes. I am very unlucky.
Damn, how much sl do you usually put into the crates? 500 for 1 is half the avg odds. Only had 90 mil to mess with this time around since I opened 20,000 some odd winter crates to get my ersatz and nc900 just a couple months ago.
+1 from my total experiences with the crate events. I usually get ~10 vehicles per event (if I spend over the 100m SL mark) and I have gotten nearly exactly 1 coupon per 10 vehicles. It is for sure NOT higher than 1:10 coupons:vehicles. I have never once gotten something like 3 coupons per 10 vehicles. I think I did get 2 coupons in one event BUT, then didn’t get any coupons on another event. So the average is still almost exactly 1:10 for me overall through the years.
Got my fifth vehicles and it’s another boat the Z25 swear gaijin is playing sick prank on me. I don’t want these awful boats I want tanks 😭
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I’m tired of these damn BOTES 😭 give me surblinde or something
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You’re crazy lucky man
The boat I got from the crate last time has been my favorite thing on the sea.
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No chance. It’s a divine intervention.
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MOTHERF-
In all seriousness, congrats. I am officially at over 200 for this round. Over the last 6 rounds of boxes, I have now opened a combined 838 boxes with no vehicle.
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Funny enough, i only opened 30 of them. The luck is absolutely insane
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