The Explosive Watermelon!

ive got the I-180S like 7 times before. Granted, not as bad as recieving a duplicate of iranian tomcat, but the sheer volume of duplicates in this case speaks for itself.

if i recieve it again, this time as my second coupon for this SL lootbox run after getting a ship as first, im going to scream.

1 Like

404

5 Likes

Finally a vehicle ! After 105,6 mils of SL in total and 9,6mil. of SL during this crate event :)

2 Likes

Hey Silent, do you actually track the SL box results? Have the feeling youre very into it.
If you want i can send you my results (with screenshots if you want) as i currently track all of them.
In the next days i will have opened the 1000th watermelon and will likely end a pit above 1000th.

Not sure why people are telling they needed to spend 100.000.000 SL to get one Prem… i got a few already and i am currently at the 127 Opening of 5 Melons each, so 635th Melon.

1 Like

404

Her*

Anyway, thanks for the shoutout. @Bruce_R1 has also done some on their own that have come out at 0.004.

1 Like

Ah ok. Thanks.

It seems his/her/its thread is kinda dead.

So i guess i just do it for myself and post the results at some point here.

But a rough summary of my results: ( i open 5 boxes each and the number gives the amount of times i opened a 5er pack)

Opening out of 150 Melons total so far:
16: 2D Deco
27: 3D Deco Petart ammo
34: 234/4 (Worth 174 GJN)
53: Zrinyi 1 (Worth Not obtainable anymore)
58: 2D Deco
80: Profil picture
86: 3D Deco Jet Ski
110: 3D Deco Petart ammo
116: Buccanner S.1 (Worth 39 GJN)
119: 2D Deco
120: Coupon 3D Deco (Worth 2 GJN)
127: Coupon 2D Deco (Worth 0.4 GJN)
128: Coupon 2D Deco (Worth 1 GJN)
128: Coupon AUBL 74 HVG (Worth around 60 GJN)
132: Coupon BMD-4 (Worth around 87 GJN)
135: F11F-1 (Worth 43 GJN)

The stuff i can sell will make me a nice 150 GJN already, securing me another year of Prem Account and 110 GJN to spend on whatever i want.

Total worth so far (inluding non coupons) a very nice 406 GJN/Dollar/EUR that it would have cost me to get these vehicles. And the Puma is a very welcome addition to my collection :D

1 Like

8ssnqb2udyb41

7 Likes

I know what u mean but no, for me its purely to continue to not spend any money for the game and still being able to buy premium stuff. Its calculated to give me enough GJN to buy 3-4 Prems on sale + 1 year of Prem time.

This is actually the only reason i keep playing this game, its so pay2win that i would have stopped playing years ago but with a strategy u can be part of the problem without spending any money.

Thats why i keep track of the earnings, and so far it is an no brainer for me to continue buying them.

event odds per box
vehicle on account 0.004
vehicle coupon (any) 0.0004
IS-7 on account 0.00001
IS-7 coupon 0.000001

So low? For me it feels like the odds are way better then 0.004 and 0.0004 for a coupon.
Havent tracked the last times i bought the boxes, only this time, but it was everytime around 20-50 millions and i usually got 2-3 coupons and 5+ vehicles (often i had them already but thats on me i guess)

0.0004 would be 2500 Boxes for one coupon, so thats very far away from my results.

And up to today i opened 219x5=1095 Melons and i got 5 Acc Vehicles and 2 Vehicle Coupons.

Some people are lucky. Most of the ones who aren’t lucky we don’t hear from.

Anyway, we know the IS-7 odds from the writeup (0.00001 on account), and we know coupons are 1/10 of vehicles. And we know that the odds for an IS-7 are significantly lower than any of the other 43 vehicles on offer so they can’t be reasonably better than 1/10 of the vehicle odds on any of the others.

This is consistent with market sales which are about 10x the number of other vehicles as IS-7s (18 so far this event, compared to around 200 F-14s last I looked).

So If IS-7 odds are 0.00001 on account (and coupon is 0.000001, literally a million-to-one shot), that means odds of other vehicles on account are ~0.0001, which times 43 vehicles that means “vehicle on account” can’t be far off 0.004, which is consistent with reports collected by players.

Sorry, you’ve just been lucky. Most people don’t get anything close to what you have gotten in terms of rate of return, and if actual odds aren’t given, there’s a “false hope” aspect to people here raving about the cool stuff they got. A gambling counsellor would tell you to quit while you’re ahead.

EDIT: Also important to note if you’ve done this a while that before Feb/24 the odds for a vehicle coupon were about the same as now but the odds of a vehicle on account were about half what they are now (so five vehicles on account per coupon was what you should expect before that, except for the event in Dec/22 which had no coupons at all). So people who look at their “lifetime” performance can see the proportion and doubt the current 1:10. I for instance have “lifetime” two coupons and eight vehicles out of SL boxes, but both of those coupons came before they changed the odds.

2 Likes

But thats what i got so far out of every event roughly. So yea maybe i am just lucky.

but my odds for this event are very very different.
for me the odds where:

Acc Vehicle: 0,0045 wich is aligning
but
Coupon: 0,0018 which is far far away from 0,0004

Well good for you :) As I mentioned earlier I opened 1760 boxes during multiple events and just today I got finally my first prem. vehicle for 105,6mils of SLs :) Maybe I will get lucky and get a coupon in said 2500 boxes :)

So yeah 740 boxes to go then :D

so, opened 600th box, still sitting at exactly one vehicle.

lets go for 700!

4 Likes

Holy

1 Like

771

I mean, eventually I need to hit second vehicle, right?

6 Likes

“Sir, its your 8th copy of I-180S”

3 Likes

Why did people flag it?

1 Like

some people probably find the “here comes the airplane!” jokes tad bit too offensive.

2 Likes